HJK helsinki vs VPS Thursday 08th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Veikkausliiga

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HJK helsinki View team ›

Oct. 8, 2026 5 days, 13 hours ago

6 – 0

Full Time

VPS View team ›

Match Analysis

HJK helsinki VPS

HJK helsinki D D W W L W

VPS L L W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for HJK Helsinki with a 61% probability, suggesting a strong favoritism for the home side. This view aligns with the clear quality gap in favor of HJK Helsinki and their history of dominating recent meetings, which have often included plenty of goals. The market odds also reflect this confidence, as they imply a similar level of favoritism for HJK Helsinki. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of over 1.5 goals (55% probability), which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest, making this outcome a sure tip.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HJK helsinki	VPS	2 - 1	July 18, 2026
VPS	HJK helsinki	2 - 1	May 22, 2026
VPS	HJK helsinki	0 - 2	July 5, 2025
HJK helsinki	VPS	3 - 1	April 26, 2025
VPS	HJK helsinki	1 - 1	September 20, 2024
VPS	HJK helsinki	1 - 3	September 1, 2024

HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Gnistan	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	KuPS	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Home	Inter Turku	2 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Ilves	1 - 2	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Gnistan	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	FF Jaro	3 - 0	Win

VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	KuPS	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 14, 26	Away	Inter Turku	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	AC Oulu	1 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Lahti	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Ilves	0 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Home	Turku PS	1 - 3	Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	HJK helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
6	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.27% likelihood that both HJK helsinki and VPS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

HJK helsinki to win

This prediction indicates that HJK helsinki has a 60.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)

VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Veikkausliiga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

HJK helsinki to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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