Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Nosta Wednesday 12th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Khimik Dzerzhinsk Nosta

Khimik Dzerzhinsk W D D L D W

Nosta L L D D L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 16, 26	Home	Orel	3 - 2	Win
Sep 10, 25	Away	Fankom	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 20, 25	Home	Amkar	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 25, 24	Home	Chayka	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Away	Murom	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 24	Home	Broke Boys	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 25	Away	Ilpar	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 24	Away	Torpedo Miass	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 23	Away	FC UFA	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 2, 23	Home	Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 15, 23	Away	Avangard Kursk	4 - 2	Loss
Mar 8, 23	Away	Khimik Vurnary	0 - 3	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Khimik Dzerzhinsk has a 46.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.67 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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