Lancaster City vs Stockton Town Tuesday 13th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Non League Premier - Northern

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Lancaster City View team ›

Oct. 13, 2026 9 hours ago

1 – 0

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Stockton Town View team ›

Match Analysis

Lancaster City Stockton Town

Lancaster City D L W W L L

Stockton Town D W L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Stockton Town has dominated recent meetings, with plenty of goals scored in those games. The model predicts a 38% chance of an away win for Lancaster City vs Stockton Town, suggesting a notable confidence in Stockton Town despite the close quality gap. The model also expects goals, with over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals each having around a 55% chance, and both teams to score being likely at 54%. These predictions align closely with the market odds, which also imply strong chances for an away win, goals over 1.5 and 2.5, and both teams scoring.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stockton Town	Lancaster City	1 - 1	April 18, 2026
Lancaster City	Stockton Town	1 - 2	November 22, 2025
Stockton Town	Lancaster City	1 - 0	January 15, 2025
Lancaster City	Stockton Town	2 - 1	September 10, 2024

Lancaster City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Warrington Town	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 7, 26	Away	Avro	5 - 3	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Home	Ilkeston Town	2 - 1	Win
Sep 29, 26	Away	Whitby Town	1 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Curzon Ashton	0 - 2	Loss

Stockton Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	United of Manchester	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 6, 26	Home	Bury	1 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Hyde United	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Bamber Bridge	5 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Rylands	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Away	Guiseley AFC	2 - 1	Loss

Non League Premier - Northern Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18	26	-8	17
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17	24	-7	12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.27% likelihood that both Lancaster City and Stockton Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Lancaster City or Stockton Town to win

This prediction indicates that Stockton Town has a 37.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.51 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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