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Friendlies Clubs
Lugo logo Lugo
Aug. 21, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ourense CF logo Ourense CF

Match Analysis

Lugo Ourense CF
Lugo L D D W L W
Ourense CF W D L D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ourense CF Lugo 4 - 2 April 11, 2026
Lugo Ourense CF 2 - 1 December 21, 2025
Lugo Ourense CF 0 - 2 March 29, 2025
Ourense CF Lugo 2 - 1 January 11, 2025
Ourense CF Lugo 0 - 3 July 23, 2022

Lugo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Arenteiro 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Celta de Vigo II 0 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home Zamora 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Mérida AD 0 - 2 Win

Ourense CF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Tenerife 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Away Talavera 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Celta de Vigo II 2 - 4 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Athletic Club II 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Zamora 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 14, 26 Away Real Madrid II 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lugo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lugo has a 38.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.45 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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