AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga Friday 07th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

AD Ceuta FC Malaga

AD Ceuta FC L L W W L D

Malaga D W D D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AD Ceuta FC	Malaga	1 - 4	May 16, 2026
Malaga	AD Ceuta FC	2 - 1	January 11, 2026
Malaga	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 1	April 7, 2024
AD Ceuta FC	Malaga	3 - 2	January 14, 2024

AD Ceuta FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Sevilla	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Juventud Torremolinos	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Albacete	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	FC Andorra	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Malaga	1 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Castellón	1 - 1	Draw

Malaga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Leicester	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Almeria	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Almeria	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Home	Las Palmas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Las Palmas	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Zaragoza	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Malaga to win

This prediction indicates that Malaga has a 44.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.99 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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