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J1 League
Machida Zelvia logo Machida Zelvia
Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kashiwa Reysol logo Kashiwa Reysol

Match Analysis

Machida Zelvia Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia W D W W W W
Kashiwa Reysol L W W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Machida Zelvia Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 0 April 11, 2026
Kashiwa Reysol Machida Zelvia 0 - 1 March 14, 2026
Kashiwa Reysol Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 December 6, 2025
Machida Zelvia Kashiwa Reysol 3 - 0 May 17, 2025
Kashiwa Reysol Machida Zelvia 1 - 1 October 19, 2024
Machida Zelvia Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 0 May 3, 2024

Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Home Grulla Morioka 3 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Urawa 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away JEF United Chiba 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away FC Tokyo 1 - 5 Win

Kashiwa Reysol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Senshu University 2 - 1 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home V-varen Nagasaki 4 - 2 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Tokyo Verdy 1 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Mito Hollyhock 2 - 1 Win

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 5 4 1 0 15 4 +11 13
2 Kashiwa Reysol 5 4 0 1 10 6 +4 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Machida Zelvia to win
This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 44.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.97 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5 hours from now · noon › Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia 5 hours from now · noon › Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga 7 hours from now · 1:30 p.m. › Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kashima vs Urawa 5 hours from now · noon › JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka 5 hours from now · noon ›