Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - South

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Maidenhead View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago

0 – 1

Full Time

Tonbridge Angels View team ›

Match Analysis

Maidenhead Tonbridge Angels

Maidenhead W L D L W D

Tonbridge Angels L L W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Maidenhead with a 46% probability. The model sees Maidenhead as having an edge due to their moderate recent form compared to Tonbridge Angels' poor form, plus a rest advantage. The market odds suggest a slightly lower chance of a home win than the model’s view. Overall, the model believes Maidenhead has a reasonable chance to win, though the teams are closely matched in quality.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tonbridge Angels	Maidenhead	0 - 1	February 10, 2026
Maidenhead	Tonbridge Angels	1 - 1	October 21, 2025

Maidenhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 26, 26	Away	Chesham United	0 - 4	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Billericay Town	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Torquay	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Dover	0 - 3	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	AFC Totton	1 - 1	Draw

Tonbridge Angels Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Torquay	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Ramsgate	2 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Farnborough	0 - 4	Win

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Tonbridge Angels	10	4	2	4	19	11	+8	14
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12	11	+1	13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.43% likelihood that both Maidenhead and Tonbridge Angels will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Maidenhead to win

This prediction indicates that Maidenhead has a 45.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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