Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Monday 12th October 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Allsvenskan

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Malmo FF View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 1 day, 11 hours ago

1 – 0

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Kalmar FF View team ›

Match Analysis

Malmo FF Kalmar FF

Malmo FF W L W D W L

Kalmar FF D L L L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Malmo FF with a 55% probability. Malmo FF are seen as the stronger team, with better recent form and a rest advantage, which supports the prediction. However, past meetings between these teams have often ended in draws, adding some uncertainty. The model also sees a higher chance of both teams scoring and more than 2.5 goals in the match, and these views align closely with the market odds, which also favor the home side and a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kalmar FF	Malmo FF	2 - 2	July 20, 2026
Malmo FF	Kalmar FF	1 - 1	March 20, 2026
Kalmar FF	Malmo FF	2 - 2	August 24, 2024
Malmo FF	Kalmar FF	5 - 0	May 24, 2024
Kalmar FF	Malmo FF	1 - 0	October 8, 2023
Malmo FF	Kalmar FF	1 - 0	April 1, 2023

Malmo FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	FC Nordsjaelland	3 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Vasteras SK FK	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Orgryte IS	4 - 1	Win
Sep 7, 26	Home	AIK Stockholm	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Sirius	0 - 1	Win
Aug 24, 26	Home	Djurgardens IF	0 - 3	Loss

Kalmar FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 6, 26	Away	IFK Norrkoping	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Home	BK Hacken	0 - 5	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	IF Elfsborg	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Home	Djurgardens IF	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Halmstad	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Vasteras SK FK	0 - 0	Draw

Allsvenskan Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	+4	33
14	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	-15	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that both Malmo FF and Kalmar FF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Malmo FF to win

This prediction indicates that Malmo FF has a 54.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.37 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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