Jagiellonia vs Sparta Praha Thursday 16th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Jagiellonia Sparta Praha

Jagiellonia W D W W L W

Sparta Praha W W D W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Zaglebie Lubin	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	GKS Katowice	2 - 2	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Raków Częstochowa	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Pogon Szczecin	3 - 2	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Gornik Zabrze	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Arka Gdynia	0 - 3	Win

Sparta Praha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Hradec Králové	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Slovan Liberec	0 - 2	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Plzen	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Slavia Praha	0 - 3	Win
May 3, 26	Home	FK Jablonec	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bohemians 1905	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
839	Sparta Praha	3	1	1	1	6	4	+2	4
879	Jagiellonia	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.72% likelihood that both Jagiellonia and Sparta Praha will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Sparta Praha to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Sparta Praha has a 40.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.48 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs