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National League - North

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Merthyr Town Macclesfield
Merthyr Town D L W L W L
Macclesfield D W W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Merthyr Town Macclesfield 1 - 2 April 11, 2026
Macclesfield Merthyr Town 1 - 3 September 2, 2025

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home AFC Telford United 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Spennymoor Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Hednesford Town 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Worcester City 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Swansea 3 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Briton Ferry 3 - 0 Loss

Macclesfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Spalding United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Radcliffe 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Marine 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home United of Manchester 2 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Tamworth 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Altrincham 2 - 5 Win

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Macclesfield 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
11 Merthyr Town 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.69% likelihood that both Merthyr Town and Macclesfield will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Merthyr Town or Macclesfield to win
This prediction indicates that Macclesfield has a 42.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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