Serie A
Match Analysis
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
D
D
L
D
L
W
Vitoria
L
W
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | Mirassol | 1 - 0 | March 22, 2026 |
| Vitoria | Mirassol | 2 - 0 | November 29, 2025 |
| Mirassol | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| Vitoria | Mirassol | 0 - 0 | September 1, 2023 |
| Mirassol | Vitoria | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2023 |
| Mirassol | Vitoria | 1 - 2 | August 7, 2022 |
Mirassol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Santos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Flamengo | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | LDU de Quito | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | remo | 2 - 1 | Win |
Vitoria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Bahia | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | remo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Mirassol to win
This prediction indicates that Mirassol has a 47.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.64 %Most Likely Scorelines
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