Modena vs Verona Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

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Modena View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 10 hours ago

3 – 2

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Verona View team ›

Match Analysis

Modena Verona

Modena W D L W W L

Verona W W L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Modena and Verona have been in strong form recently, making this an evenly matched contest. Modena has the benefit of extra rest time heading into the match, which could give them a slight edge. The model predicts a 47% chance that Modena will win, a view that aligns closely with the market odds, which also favor the home side. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score, suggesting an open and competitive game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Verona	Modena	3 - 2	July 29, 2021

Modena Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Empoli	2 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Sudtirol	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Avellino	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Cremonese	0 - 3	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Benevento	1 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Venezia	3 - 2	Loss

Verona Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	FC Lugano	1 - 3	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	Vicenza Virtus	2 - 1	Win
Sep 11, 26	Away	Benevento	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Arezzo	5 - 0	Win
Sep 3, 26	Away	Cagliari	1 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Padova	1 - 1	Draw

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
9	Verona	5	2	1	2	10	7	+3	7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Modena to win

This prediction indicates that Modena has a 46.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.11 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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