Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz Tuesday 13th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Mombasa Elite logo Mombasa Elite View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 11 hours from now VS
Homeboyz logo Homeboyz View team ›

Match Analysis

Mombasa Elite Homeboyz
Mombasa Elite W
Homeboyz D D L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees Homeboyz as the stronger side, but notes that both teams have been struggling in recent matches. Despite this, the model predicts a draw with a 41% probability, which is roughly in line with what the market odds suggest for this outcome. The model also leans toward fewer goals overall, predicting an under 1.5 goals outcome at 43% probability, slightly more confident than the market odds imply. Additionally, it suggests that both teams are unlikely to score, aligning somewhat with the market view.

Mombasa Elite Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 1, 26 Home Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 1 Win

Homeboyz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Police 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Home AFC Leopards 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Murang'a SEAL 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home GOR Mahia 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away KCB 1 - 1 Draw

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Mombasa Elite 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Mombasa Elite will score 0 goals, and Homeboyz will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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