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Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Tokushima Vortis Iwaki
Tokushima Vortis D L W W D D
Iwaki L W W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 2 - 0 June 7, 2026
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 0 - 1 October 26, 2025
Iwaki Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 March 2, 2025
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 0 - 1 September 22, 2024
Iwaki Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 May 26, 2024
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 2 - 0 September 10, 2023

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Iwaki 2 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Imabari 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Kataller Toyama 2 - 2 Draw

Iwaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Imabari 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Parceiro Nagano 1 - 3 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 0 - 0 Draw

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Tokushima Vortis 21 11 3 7 41 25 +16 36
15 Iwaki 22 8 7 7 26 25 +1 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tokushima Vortis to win
This prediction indicates that Tokushima Vortis has a 51.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.75 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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