J2 League
Match Analysis
Sagan Tosu
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Sagan Tosu
D
W
W
W
L
D
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
D
L
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 - 1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Sagan Tosu | 2 - 1 | February 21, 2026 |
| Sagan Tosu | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 5 - 1 | June 7, 2023 |
Sagan Tosu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tokushima Vortis | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Ventforet Kofu | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Verspah Oita | 7 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Shonan Bellmare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Tokushima Vortis | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | FC Ryukyu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ventforet Kofu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Yokohama FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Ventforet Kofu | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Kataller Toyama | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 15 | +23 | 51 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 17 | +11 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sagan Tosu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sagan Tosu has a 39.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.07 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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