Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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J2 League
Montedio Yamagata logo Montedio Yamagata
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Sagan Tosu logo Sagan Tosu

Match Analysis

Montedio Yamagata Sagan Tosu
Montedio Yamagata L W D W L W
Sagan Tosu W D W L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Montedio Yamagata Sagan Tosu 3 - 2 August 30, 2025
Sagan Tosu Montedio Yamagata 2 - 1 April 25, 2025
Sagan Tosu Montedio Yamagata 4 - 3 November 14, 2015
Montedio Yamagata Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 August 16, 2015
Sagan Tosu Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 April 12, 2015
Montedio Yamagata Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 September 10, 2014

Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Imabari 0 - 3 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Yokohama FC 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Tochigi City 2 - 0 Win

Sagan Tosu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Yokohama FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 4 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Tochigi City 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 2 - 0 Win

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Sagan Tosu 25 11 8 6 33 22 +11 41
18 Montedio Yamagata 25 9 3 13 29 30 -1 30

Predictions

Montedio Yamagata to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Montedio Yamagata has a 35.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.39 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J2 League

Ventforet Kofu vs Jubilo Iwata 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Omiya Ardija vs Oita Trinita 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Imabari vs Sagan Tosu 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Iwaki vs Yokohama FC 5 hours from now · noon › Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Vanraure Hachinohe vs Shonan Bellmare 6 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Kataller Toyama vs Tochigi City 6 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Blaublitz Akita vs Tokushima Vortis 5 hours from now · noon ›