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J2 League

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Kataller Toyama Tochigi City
Kataller Toyama L W W L D W
Tochigi City W W W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Kataller Toyama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Imabari 4 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 0 Win

Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Vanraure Hachinohe 5 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 3 - 1 Win

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Kataller Toyama 22 12 6 4 43 27 +16 42
24 Tochigi City 22 7 5 10 30 38 -8 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that both Kataller Toyama and Tochigi City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kataller Toyama to win
This prediction indicates that Kataller Toyama has a 49.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.30 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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