J2 League
Match Analysis
Omiya Ardija
Oita Trinita
Omiya Ardija
W
W
W
W
D
W
Oita Trinita
D
W
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oita Trinita | Omiya Ardija | 0 - 0 | June 28, 2025 |
| Omiya Ardija | Oita Trinita | 2 - 2 | April 5, 2025 |
| Oita Trinita | Omiya Ardija | 0 - 1 | September 30, 2023 |
| Omiya Ardija | Oita Trinita | 3 - 0 | March 25, 2023 |
| Omiya Ardija | Oita Trinita | 2 - 2 | September 14, 2022 |
| Oita Trinita | Omiya Ardija | 1 - 1 | May 4, 2022 |
Omiya Ardija Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Vanraure Hachinohe | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Consadole Sapporo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Imabari | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Albirex Niigata | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Urawa | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Kochi United | 2 - 1 | Win |
Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Iwaki | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Iwaki | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Vegalta Sendai | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Shonan Bellmare | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Nara Club | 3 - 3 | Draw |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 38 |
| 23 | Oita Trinita | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Omiya Ardija to win
This prediction indicates that Omiya Ardija has a 56.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.90 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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