Monza vs Aris Thessalonikis Thursday 30th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Monza Aris Thessalonikis

Monza L W W D D L

Aris Thessalonikis W W W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	Catanzaro	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Catanzaro	0 - 2	Win
May 19, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Juve Stabia	2 - 2	Draw
May 8, 26	Home	Empoli	2 - 2	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	Mantova	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Levadiakos	3 - 0	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Volos NFC	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	OFI	3 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	OFI	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Volos NFC	3 - 2	Win
Apr 5, 26	Away	Levadiakos	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that Monza has a 38.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.13 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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