Morecambe vs Buxton Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Morecambe

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Buxton

Match Analysis

Morecambe Buxton

Morecambe L L D L D W

Buxton L D W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Buxton	Morecambe	0 - 1	December 4, 2021

Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Home	South Shields	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Harborough Town	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Spennymoor Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Barrow	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Home	AFC Fylde	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Bamber Bridge	0 - 3	Win

Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Away	Bedford Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Southport	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Hereford	2 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Warrington Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ashton United	1 - 0	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Buxton	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
16	Morecambe	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that both Morecambe and Buxton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Buxton to win

This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 47.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Buxton to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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