Motherwell vs Celtic Sunday 11th October 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Premiership

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Motherwell View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 17 hours ago

0 – 2

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Celtic View team ›

Match Analysis

Motherwell Celtic

Motherwell L L L W D L

Celtic L L L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Motherwell have struggled recently, while Celtic have been more consistent in their performances. The model sees Celtic as clearly the stronger side, pointing to a significant quality gap in their favor and Celtic's strong recent attacking form. The model predicts a 60% chance that Celtic will win, which is higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than two goals, aligning with Celtic's history of dominant, high-scoring games against Motherwell.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Motherwell	Celtic	2 - 3	May 13, 2026
Celtic	Motherwell	3 - 1	March 14, 2026
Motherwell	Celtic	2 - 0	December 30, 2025
Celtic	Motherwell	3 - 2	October 5, 2025
Motherwell	Celtic	1 - 3	February 2, 2025
Celtic	Motherwell	4 - 0	December 26, 2024

Motherwell Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Dundee	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 15, 26	Home	Aberdeen	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Rangers	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 2, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	ST Mirren	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 27, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	4 - 1	Loss

Celtic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Rangers	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 17, 26	Home	Ferencvarosi TC	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Rangers	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Away	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	ST Mirren	1 - 2	Win
Sep 2, 26	Home	Aberdeen	3 - 0	Win

Premiership Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.47% likelihood that both Motherwell and Celtic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Celtic to win

This prediction indicates that Celtic has a 60.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.54 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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