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Aug. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Murom Metallurg Lipetsk
Murom L W D D L D
Metallurg Lipetsk L L L L D D
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Murom Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Feb 7, 26 Away Spartak Nalchik 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 20, 25 Home Kristall MEZ 3 - 2 Win
Sep 4, 24 Home Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 21, 24 Away Torpedo Vladimir 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 23, 23 Home 2Drots 1 - 3 Loss
Jan 28, 23 Away Chertanovo Moscow 2 - 2 Draw

Metallurg Lipetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 10, 26 Away Cherepovets 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 19, 25 Away FK Spartak Tambov 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 21, 24 Home Zenit Penza 1 - 2 Loss
Feb 18, 24 Away Arsenal Tula 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 23 Home Forte Taganrog 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 24, 23 Away Avangard Kursk 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.12% likelihood that both Murom and Metallurg Lipetsk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Murom to win
This prediction indicates that Murom has a 55.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.46 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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