Novaci vs Pelister Thursday 30th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Novaci Pelister

Novaci L W D L

Pelister L L L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Novaci	Pelister	0 - 0	January 27, 2025
Pelister	Novaci	5 - 0	July 14, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 4, 26	Away	Tikveš	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	Golemo Konjari	3 - 0	Win
Jan 27, 25	Home	Pelister	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 24	Away	Pelister	5 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 30, 26	Home	Pakhtakor	0 - 1	Loss
Jan 28, 26	Away	Navbahor	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 25, 26	Away	Borac Banja Luka	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 20, 26	Away	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 12, 25	Home	Dinamo Bucuresti	2 - 0	Win
Sep 25, 25	Home	Preston Lions	1 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Novaci has a 38.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.69 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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