Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura Saturday 10th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

1. SNL

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Olimpija Ljubljana View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 10 hours ago

3 – 3

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Mura View team ›

Match Analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana Mura

Olimpija Ljubljana W L W W D W

Mura D L D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Olimpija Ljubljana are in strong recent form, while Mura have struggled recently. The model also sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side, and notes that past meetings between these teams have usually been tight and low-scoring. With this in mind, the model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also expects few goals overall, aligning with the idea that recent games between these sides have generally been hard to break down.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mura	Olimpija Ljubljana	1 - 0	July 25, 2026
Mura	Olimpija Ljubljana	0 - 0	April 4, 2026
Olimpija Ljubljana	Mura	1 - 0	January 31, 2026
Mura	Olimpija Ljubljana	0 - 2	September 28, 2025
Olimpija Ljubljana	Mura	1 - 0	July 19, 2025
Mura	Olimpija Ljubljana	1 - 1	May 10, 2025

Olimpija Ljubljana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 1, 26	Home	NK Slaven Belupo	2 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Bravo	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Koper	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Brinje-Grosuplje	3 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Radomlje	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Nafta	1 - 0	Win

Mura Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Celje	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Aluminij	1 - 6	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Maribor	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Bravo	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Koper	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	1 - 2	Win

1. SNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	+2	14
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	-11	9

Predictions

Olimpija Ljubljana to win

This prediction indicates that Olimpija Ljubljana has a 57.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.81 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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