Ostia Mare vs Pianese Saturday 10th October 2026 06:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Serie C - Girone B logo

Serie C - Girone B

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Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 13 hours ago
0 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ostia Mare Pianese
Ostia Mare D D W L L W
Pianese W L D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Ostia Mare and Pianese are coming into this match with poor recent form, and the two sides are seen as closely matched in overall quality. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which reflects the slight edge given to Ostia Mare despite their recent defensive struggles. The model also sees a 46% chance that neither team will score, indicating a view that the match could be low-scoring, aligning with the general sense of both teams being in uneven form.

Ostia Mare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Away Latina 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 27, 26 Home Forli 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Away Gubbio 0 - 2 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Ravenna 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 13, 26 Away Torres 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Vis Pesaro 1 - 2 Win

Pianese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Home Ravenna 2 - 1 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Livorno 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 21, 26 Home Sambenedettese 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 16, 26 Away Torres 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Home Grosseto 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Away Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Ostia Mare 8 2 2 4 9 10 -1 8
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6 10 -4 6

Predictions

Ostia Mare to win
This prediction indicates that Ostia Mare has a 42.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.69 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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