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National League - North

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Oxford City Chorley
Oxford City D W W L L W
Chorley W L L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Oxford City Chorley 2 - 0 March 21, 2026
Chorley Oxford City 3 - 3 October 11, 2025
Chorley Oxford City 0 - 0 January 21, 2025
Oxford City Chorley 2 - 2 August 31, 2024

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home Harborough Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Spalding United 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Bedford Town 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Slough Town 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Briton Ferry 4 - 0 Win

Chorley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Marine 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away South Shields 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Chester 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Trafford 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Accrington ST 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Altrincham 0 - 0 Draw

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Oxford City 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
19 Chorley 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0

Predictions

Oxford City to win
This prediction indicates that Oxford City has a 50.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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