Serie A
Match Analysis
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
W
W
L
D
D
W
Sao Paulo
L
W
D
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | March 22, 2026 |
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | 2 - 3 | October 5, 2025 |
| Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 | May 11, 2025 |
| Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | 0 - 0 | April 29, 2024 |
| Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 5 - 0 | October 25, 2023 |
Palmeiras Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Cerro Porteno | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Cerro Porteno | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Internacional | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 0 - 4 | Win |
Sao Paulo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Bolívar | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Coritiba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Gremio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | +24 | 51 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Palmeiras to win
This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 67.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.46 %Most Likely Scorelines
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