Panama vs New Zealand Thursday 01st October 2026 09:10 AM football predictions.

Friendlies

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Panama View team ›

Oct. 1, 2026 1 week, 5 days ago

1 – 1

Full Time

New Zealand View team ›

Match Analysis

Panama New Zealand

Panama D L L L D W

New Zealand W D L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Panama with a 53% probability. The prediction leans towards Panama due to a clear quality gap favoring them and a rest advantage. However, both teams are in poor recent form, and New Zealand have shown defensive struggles, which supports the likelihood of goals being scored. The model also suggests a 50% chance that both teams will score and a 55% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a competitive and open match.

Panama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 25, 26	Away	India	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	England	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Croatia	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	Ghana	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 4, 26	Home	Dominican Republic	4 - 2	Win

New Zealand Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 27, 26	Away	China	0 - 3	Win
Sep 24, 26	Away	Palestine	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Belgium	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Home	Egypt	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	Iran	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	England	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.46% likelihood that both Panama and New Zealand will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Panama to win

This prediction indicates that Panama has a 52.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.35 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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