Parma vs Arezzo Thursday 30th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Parma Arezzo

Parma W L L L W W

Arezzo W W W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Sassuolo	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	como	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	AS Roma	2 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Inter	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Pisa	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Udinese	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Home	Torres	3 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Pineto	1 - 4	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Livorno	2 - 0	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Sambenedettese	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 30, 26	Home	Ascoli	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 20, 26	Away	Bra	0 - 4	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Parma has a 56.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.17 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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