Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd Friday 09th October 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Liga 1

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Persik Kediri View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 4 days, 20 hours ago

2 – 0

Full Time

Persepam Madura Utd View team ›

Match Analysis

Persik Kediri Persepam Madura Utd

Persik Kediri D W L L L W

Persepam Madura Utd W W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Persepam Madura Utd has had the upper hand over Persik Kediri, with those past encounters typically featuring plenty of goals. Despite Persik Kediri being the home side, they are currently in poor recent form, whereas Persepam Madura Utd arrives in strong form. The model predicts a home win with a 47% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed one or more goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these aspects.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Persepam Madura Utd	Persik Kediri	2 - 1	April 11, 2026
Persik Kediri	Persepam Madura Utd	1 - 2	August 16, 2025
Persepam Madura Utd	Persik Kediri	2 - 1	April 28, 2025
Persik Kediri	Persepam Madura Utd	1 - 0	December 6, 2024
Persik Kediri	Persepam Madura Utd	4 - 0	November 8, 2023
Persepam Madura Utd	Persik Kediri	3 - 2	July 9, 2023

Persik Kediri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Arema FC	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	Garudayaksa	0 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Dewa United	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Persebaya Surabaya	5 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Persija	1 - 3	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Semen Padang	0 - 3	Win

Persepam Madura Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	PSIM Yogyakarta	2 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	PSS Sleman	1 - 3	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Persijap	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	PSM Makassar	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	PSIM Yogyakarta	2 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Bhayangkara FC	3 - 1	Loss

Liga 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Persepam Madura Utd	3	3	0	0	7	2	+5	9
10	Persik Kediri	3	1	1	1	3	2	+1	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that both Persik Kediri and Persepam Madura Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Persik Kediri to win

This prediction indicates that Persik Kediri has a 47.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.53 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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