Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava Sunday 11th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 13 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Podbrezová Spartak Trnava
Podbrezová W D L D L W
Spartak Trnava D W D L W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Spartak Trnava, who carry a clear quality gap in their favor, yet the model predicts a home win with a 37% probability. Despite Trnava's moderate recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head encounters featuring many goals, the model sees enough uncertainty to lean toward Podbrezová, albeit with modest confidence. The market odds imply a closer contest, making the model's view somewhat more optimistic for the home side. Additionally, the model strongly supports the idea that both teams will score and that more than one or two goals will be scored, aligning with past high-scoring meetings between these teams.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Podbrezová Spartak Trnava 0 - 3 May 3, 2026
Spartak Trnava Podbrezová 4 - 1 April 5, 2026
Spartak Trnava Podbrezová 0 - 5 February 21, 2026
Podbrezová Spartak Trnava 1 - 3 December 3, 2025
Spartak Trnava Podbrezová 2 - 1 May 17, 2025
Podbrezová Spartak Trnava 1 - 2 April 12, 2025

Podbrezová Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Away Skalica 0 - 1 Win
Sep 13, 26 Home Komárno 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Away Žilina 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home FK Košice 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Dunajska Streda 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home AS Trencin 2 - 1 Win

Spartak Trnava Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Away Dunajska Streda 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home FK Košice 5 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Ružomberok 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Home Žilina 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away AS Trencin 0 - 4 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Zemplín Michalovce 2 - 0 Win

Super Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Spartak Trnava 9 5 3 1 21 10 +11 18
6 Podbrezová 9 4 2 3 13 16 -3 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.83% likelihood that both Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Podbrezová or Spartak Trnava to win
This prediction indicates that Podbrezová has a 37.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.17 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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