Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II Wednesday 19th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Ponferradina Real Madrid II

Ponferradina D L L D W D

Real Madrid II W L W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Real Madrid II	Ponferradina	0 - 1	March 1, 2026
Ponferradina	Real Madrid II	2 - 3	October 5, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Real Avilés	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Away	Oviedo	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Celta de Vigo II	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Celta de Vigo II	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Albacete	1 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Sabadell	3 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Sabadell	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Arenas Getxo	3 - 3	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Cacereño	4 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 43.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.07 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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