Cesena vs Vis Pesaro Wednesday 05th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Cesena Vis Pesaro

Cesena W L D D L L

Vis Pesaro L D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vis Pesaro	Cesena	0 - 2	March 17, 2024
Cesena	Vis Pesaro	4 - 0	November 12, 2023
Cesena	Vis Pesaro	2 - 0	April 15, 2023
Vis Pesaro	Cesena	1 - 2	December 10, 2022
Cesena	Vis Pesaro	2 - 1	February 20, 2022
Vis Pesaro	Cesena	1 - 1	October 16, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Athletic Carpi	1 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Padova	3 - 4	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Carrarese	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Palermo	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Juve Stabia	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	Venezia	8 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Juventus U23	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Sambenedettese	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ravenna	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Athletic Carpi	3 - 0	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Ascoli	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cesena has a 52.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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