PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar Sunday 11th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga 1

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PSS Sleman View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 20 hours ago

3 – 0

Full Time

PSM Makassar View team ›

Match Analysis

PSS Sleman PSM Makassar

PSS Sleman L L L W W W

PSM Makassar D D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

PSS Sleman have shown moderate form recently, while PSM Makassar are coming off a run of poor results. Despite PSM Makassar's historical dominance in head-to-head matches, which often featured many goals, the model sees the current situation as more even. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests there's a 52% chance both teams will score, aligning closely with the market view on that point.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
PSS Sleman	PSM Makassar	3 - 1	May 3, 2025
PSM Makassar	PSS Sleman	1 - 1	December 13, 2024
PSM Makassar	PSS Sleman	2 - 1	March 8, 2024
PSS Sleman	PSM Makassar	1 - 1	September 3, 2023
PSM Makassar	PSS Sleman	4 - 0	January 14, 2023
PSS Sleman	PSM Makassar	1 - 2	July 23, 2022

PSS Sleman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Dewa United	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Persepam Madura Utd	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Bali United	2 - 1	Loss
May 24, 25	Away	Persepam Madura Utd	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 25	Home	Persija	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 25	Away	PSIS Semarang	1 - 2	Win

PSM Makassar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Persita	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Arema FC	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Persib Bandung	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Persepam Madura Utd	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Persib Bandung	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Arema FC	3 - 0	Loss

Liga 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	PSM Makassar	3	0	2	1	6	8	-2	2
17	PSS Sleman	3	0	0	3	3	7	-4	0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

PSS Sleman to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that PSS Sleman has a 39.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.55 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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