QPR vs Derby Wednesday 14th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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QPR logo QPR View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 20 hours from now VS
Derby logo Derby View team ›

Match Analysis

QPR Derby
QPR D D D D L W
Derby D D L L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
QPR Derby 2 - 3 April 25, 2026
Derby QPR 1 - 0 October 25, 2025
QPR Derby 4 - 0 February 14, 2025
Derby QPR 2 - 0 October 5, 2024
QPR Derby 1 - 0 April 18, 2022
Derby QPR 1 - 2 November 29, 2021

QPR Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 9, 26 Away West Ham 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Preston 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away West Brom 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 9, 26 Away Charlton 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 2, 26 Home Cardiff 2 - 1 Win

Derby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Wrexham 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Away Burnley 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Birmingham 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Home West Brom 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away West Ham 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 1, 26 Away Portsmouth 0 - 2 Win

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.93% likelihood that both QPR and Derby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
QPR to win
This prediction indicates that QPR has a 59.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.85 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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