Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés Thursday 13th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Racing Ferrol Real Avilés

Racing Ferrol L D D D D W

Real Avilés L D D L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Racing Ferrol	Real Avilés	2 - 2	April 26, 2026
Real Avilés	Racing Ferrol	2 - 1	December 21, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Unionistas de Salamanca	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Osasuna II	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Arenas Getxo	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Pontevedra	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Real Avilés	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Athletic Club II	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Marino de Luanco	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Real Oviedo II	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Pontevedra	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Barakaldo	1 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Ponferradina	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Racing Ferrol has a 46.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.56 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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