Marseille vs Nimes Thursday 30th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Marseille Nimes

Marseille L W W L D L

Nimes L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Marseille	Nimes	0 - 2	July 21, 2024
Marseille	Nimes	2 - 0	July 15, 2023
Marseille	Nimes	1 - 2	January 16, 2021
Nimes	Marseille	0 - 2	December 4, 2020
Nimes	Marseille	2 - 3	February 28, 2020
Marseille	Nimes	3 - 1	December 21, 2019

Marseille Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Nice	0 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Rennes	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	LE Havre	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Nantes	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Nice	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Lorient	2 - 0	Loss

Nimes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Rodez	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Nice	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 25	Away	Orleans	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 25	Home	Aubagne	2 - 4	Loss
May 2, 25	Away	Nancy	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 25	Home	Gobelins	0 - 0	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that both Marseille and Nimes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Marseille to win

This prediction indicates that Marseille has a 68.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.52 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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