Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
W
W
W
D
W
W
San Jose Earthquakes
L
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 2 | August 24, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 3 | May 25, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 1 | July 18, 2024 |
| Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 1 | March 31, 2024 |
| Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 1 | June 22, 2023 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | 2 - 1 | April 2, 2023 |
Houston Dynamo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | CD Olimpia | 3 - 0 | Win |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Club Tijuana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 33 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.32% likelihood that both Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Houston Dynamo to win
This prediction indicates that Houston Dynamo has a 47.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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