Sambenedettese vs Latina Sunday 11th October 2026 03:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Serie C - Girone B logo

Serie C - Girone B

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Sambenedettese logo Sambenedettese View team ›
Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 16 hours ago
1 – 1
Full Time
Latina logo Latina View team ›

Match Analysis

Sambenedettese Latina
Sambenedettese W L D L L L
Latina D L D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Despite Latina having a modest quality edge, both teams are showing poor recent form and have similar rest before the match. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for Sambenedettese. The model also suggests it is unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the general outlook of a low-scoring, tightly contested encounter.

Sambenedettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Grosseto 1 - 3 Win
Sep 26, 26 Home Città di Campobasso 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 21, 26 Away Pianese 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 16, 26 Home Atalanta II 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Pineto 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Spezia 1 - 2 Loss

Latina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Home Ostia Mare 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Away Reggiana 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 16, 26 Home Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Gubbio 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Forli 2 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Ravenna 3 - 1 Loss

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6 9 -3 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11 14 -3 5

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sambenedettese to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sambenedettese has a 37.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.73 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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Serie C - Girone B

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