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Primera Nacional

Aug. 26, 2026 3 days, 9 hours ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago
San Martin S.J. W D D D L W
Nueva Chicago L L L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 December 1, 2024
Nueva Chicago San Martin S.J. 2 - 1 November 24, 2024
Nueva Chicago San Martin S.J. 0 - 0 August 16, 2023
San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago 0 - 0 April 6, 2023
San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago 3 - 1 May 21, 2022
San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 November 29, 2020

San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 3 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Agropecuario 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 0 - 2 Win

Nueva Chicago Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Atlanta 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 1 - 1 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
20 San Martin S.J. 24 8 8 8 26 24 +2 32
24 Nueva Chicago 25 7 8 10 20 24 -4 29

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

San Martin S.J. to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Martin S.J. has a 34.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.43 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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