Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla Monday 12th October 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Premier League

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Smouha SC View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 1 day, 11 hours ago

1 – 0

Full Time

Ghazl El Mehalla View team ›

Match Analysis

Smouha SC Ghazl El Mehalla

Smouha SC W L L D L L

Ghazl El Mehalla L L D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Smouha SC and Ghazl El Mehalla have shown poor recent form, but Smouha SC has a modest quality edge and comes into the match with a notable rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees the game as likely to have fewer than two goals, aligning with the market's view that the match will likely end with under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ghazl El Mehalla	Smouha SC	0 - 0	August 16, 2025
Ghazl El Mehalla	Smouha SC	1 - 0	April 11, 2025
Smouha SC	Ghazl El Mehalla	2 - 4	December 26, 2024
Ghazl El Mehalla	Smouha SC	0 - 2	May 2, 2023
Smouha SC	Ghazl El Mehalla	0 - 0	December 30, 2022
Ghazl El Mehalla	Smouha SC	1 - 0	July 31, 2022

Smouha SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 14, 26	Away	El Geish	0 - 1	Win
Sep 8, 26	Home	Ceramica Cleopatra	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Away	Al Ahly	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Home	Asyut Petrol	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	AL Masry	1 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Pyramids FC	2 - 1	Loss

Ghazl El Mehalla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Home	Zamalek SC	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Away	National Bank of Egypt	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Home	Enppi	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 27, 26	Away	Future FC	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Pyramids FC	0 - 3	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Haras El Hodood	4 - 2	Win

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Smouha SC	5	1	1	3	1	4	-3	4
20	Ghazl El Mehalla	5	0	1	4	1	9	-8	1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 68.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Smouha SC to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Smouha SC has a 43.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.63 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Smouha SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ghazl El Mehalla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Premier League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Smouha SC to win or Draw

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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