Southend vs AFC Fylde Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Southend

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

AFC Fylde

Match Analysis

Southend AFC Fylde

Southend W D W D L W

AFC Fylde W W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Southend	AFC Fylde	2 - 0	January 28, 2025
AFC Fylde	Southend	2 - 1	September 17, 2024
AFC Fylde	Southend	0 - 2	April 13, 2024
Southend	AFC Fylde	1 - 2	September 23, 2023

Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Tamworth	3 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Carlisle	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	3 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Woking	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 3	Win

AFC Fylde Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 4	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Worthing	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 3	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Forest Green	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Woking	3 - 2	Loss

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	AFC Fylde	8	5	2	1	19	11	+8	17
3	Southend	8	5	2	1	17	11	+6	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.61% likelihood that both Southend and AFC Fylde will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Southend to win

This prediction indicates that Southend has a 43.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.49 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)

AFC Fylde Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Southend to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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