Spalding United vs Southport Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Spalding United

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Southport

Match Analysis

Spalding United Southport

Spalding United D L W D L W

Southport D D L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Home	Macclesfield	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Oxford City	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Radcliffe	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Away	South Shields	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	2 - 1	Win

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Away	Hednesford Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Buxton	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hebburn Town	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Wigan	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Warrington Town	2 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	United of Manchester	2 - 0	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Spalding United	2	1	0	1	2	1	+1	3
17	Southport	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Spalding United to win

This prediction indicates that Spalding United has a 50.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.25 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Spalding United to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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