Sparta Praha vs Pardubice Sunday 11th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 8 hours ago
2 – 0
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Match Analysis

Sparta Praha Pardubice
Sparta Praha W W W W W L
Pardubice W W W W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Sparta Praha with a 72% probability, suggesting strong confidence in their favor. This aligns with the significant quality gap and their dominant recent meetings against Pardubice, which have often included many goals. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score (56%) and that the match will have more than 1.5 goals (67%) and more than 2.5 goals (69%), reflecting the strong recent form and attacking tendencies of both sides. The market odds for the home win and for over 1.5 goals are lower than the model's probabilities, indicating that the model is even more confident than what the current betting odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sparta Praha Pardubice 2 - 4 November 30, 2025
Pardubice Sparta Praha 1 - 3 August 3, 2025
Pardubice Sparta Praha 1 - 2 April 19, 2025
Sparta Praha Pardubice 2 - 1 July 19, 2024
Pardubice Sparta Praha 1 - 2 December 3, 2023
Sparta Praha Pardubice 5 - 2 August 5, 2023

Sparta Praha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 2, 26 Home Vysočina Jihlava 5 - 3 Win
Sep 20, 26 Away Sigma Olomouc 0 - 3 Win
Sep 16, 26 Away Ararat-Armenia 1 - 4 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home FK Jablonec 2 - 0 Win
Sep 9, 26 Away Viktoria Žižkov 0 - 5 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Hradec Králové 2 - 1 Loss

Pardubice Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 2, 26 Home Viktoria Žižkov 4 - 1 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Bohemians 1905 2 - 1 Win
Sep 16, 26 Away Kozlovice 0 - 6 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Baník Ostrava 1 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Slovácko 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Karviná 1 - 2 Loss

Czech Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Sparta Praha 9 5 0 4 18 12 +6 15
13 Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that both Sparta Praha and Pardubice will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sparta Praha to win
This prediction indicates that Sparta Praha has a 72.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.90 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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