Spezia vs Gubbio Saturday 10th October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Serie C - Girone B logo

Serie C - Girone B

View league ›
Spezia logo Spezia View team ›
Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 10 hours ago
2 – 0
Full Time
Gubbio logo Gubbio View team ›

Match Analysis

Spezia Gubbio
Spezia W W W W W W
Gubbio L L L D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features a clear quality gap favoring Spezia, who also enter this game in strong recent form compared to Gubbio's poor recent performances. Despite both teams having similar rest, the model predicts a home win with a 67% probability, reflecting Spezia's stronger position. The market odds are not available for direct comparison, but the model's confidence in a Spezia victory aligns with their perceived superiority and current form.

Spezia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Away Reggiana 0 - 1 Win
Sep 27, 26 Away Pescara 1 - 2 Win
Sep 21, 26 Home Vis Pesaro 3 - 1 Win
Sep 16, 26 Away Perugia 0 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Livorno 2 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Sambenedettese 1 - 2 Win

Gubbio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Perugia 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 27, 26 Away Ravenna 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Home Ostia Mare 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 16, 26 Away Pescara 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Latina 3 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Città di Campobasso 2 - 4 Win

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15 4 +11 22
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10 16 -6 7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Spezia to win
This prediction indicates that Spezia has a 66.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.05 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Serie C - Girone B

Latina vs Atalanta II 8 hours from now · 4 p.m. ›

Trending

Latest transfers

All transfers

From the blog

More from the blog