Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin Wednesday 15th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sturm Graz Pogon Szczecin

Sturm Graz L W W W D D

Pogon Szczecin W D W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sturm Graz	Pogon Szczecin	1 - 6	January 25, 2024

Sturm Graz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Home	LNZ Cherkasy	2 - 6	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Mura	5 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Rapid Vienna	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	TSV Hartberg	2 - 4	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Red Bull Salzburg	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Austria Vienna	1 - 1	Draw

Pogon Szczecin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	BFC Dynamo	0 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	GKS Katowice	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Zaglebie Lubin	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Jagiellonia	3 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Wisla Plock	3 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Cracovia Krakow	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
277	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	9	3	+6	10
625	Sturm Graz	4	1	3	0	12	7	+5	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that both Sturm Graz and Pogon Szczecin will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Pogon Szczecin to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Pogon Szczecin has a 40.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.03 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs