Tamworth vs Barrow Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

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Tamworth View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago

1 – 2

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Barrow View team ›

New signing: G. Kelly joined on loan Tamworth from Stoke City on 29 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Tamworth Barrow

Tamworth W W L W L L

Barrow W W W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Barrow with a 41% probability. Despite Tamworth having a modest quality edge and moderate recent form, Barrow's strong recent performance, historical dominance in recent meetings, and the fact that they have created significantly more shooting chances recently, tilt the prediction in their favor. The market odds suggest a close contest, but the model is slightly more confident in Barrow's chances than the odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood of both teams scoring and of the match featuring more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, aligning with the view that Barrow's recent attacking momentum will be on display.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tamworth	Barrow	0 - 2	July 19, 2025
Barrow	Tamworth	2 - 0	March 2, 2013
Barrow	Tamworth	2 - 0	October 20, 2012
Tamworth	Barrow	1 - 3	September 8, 2012
Tamworth	Barrow	2 - 3	January 21, 2012
Barrow	Tamworth	1 - 1	August 13, 2011

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Hartlepool	0 - 1	Win
Sep 30, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	2 - 0	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Aldershot Town	5 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Wealdstone	2 - 1	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Southend	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	3 - 1	Loss

Barrow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Wealdstone	2 - 1	Win
Sep 29, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	3 - 0	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Southend	2 - 4	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	1 - 0	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Worthing	2 - 2	Draw

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Barrow	12	5	3	4	20	15	+5	18
18	Tamworth	12	4	2	6	20	28	-8	14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that both Tamworth and Barrow will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Barrow to win

This prediction indicates that Barrow has a 41.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.63 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Barrow Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Barrow to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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