Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

J2 League

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Tokushima Vortis Tochigi City

Tokushima Vortis W W W L D L

Tochigi City W L W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Iwaki	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Win
Aug 26, 26	Home	FC Tokushima	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Jubilo Iwata	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	1 - 4	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Jubilo Iwata	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Away	Vegalta Sendai	1 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Vanraure Hachinohe	5 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Tokushima Vortis	25	13	4	8	44	27	+17	43
23	Tochigi City	24	8	5	11	34	42	-8	29

This prediction indicates that Tokushima Vortis has a 51.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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