J1 League logo

J1 League
V-varen Nagasaki logo V-varen Nagasaki
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Nagoya Grampus logo Nagoya Grampus

Match Analysis

V-varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki W L L W L L
Nagoya Grampus L W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
V-varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 May 3, 2026
Nagoya Grampus V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 3 February 21, 2026
Nagoya Grampus V-varen Nagasaki 3 - 4 September 15, 2018
V-varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 3 - 0 May 12, 2018
V-varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 October 21, 2017
Nagoya Grampus V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 June 25, 2017

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Ehime FC 3 - 2 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Kashiwa Reysol 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Utrecht 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 Loss

Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Kashima 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Nagoya Grampus 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
16 V-varen Nagasaki 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3

Predictions

V-varen Nagasaki to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that V-varen Nagasaki has a 37.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.71 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

J1 League

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol 6 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo 6 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6 hours from now · noon › Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia 6 hours from now · noon ›