VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

2. Bundesliga

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VfL Bochum View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 4 days, 12 hours ago

0 – 1

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Arminia Bielefeld View team ›

Match Analysis

VfL Bochum Arminia Bielefeld

VfL Bochum W L D W L W

Arminia Bielefeld D D L D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Despite the two teams being closely matched in overall quality, the model leans toward a home win for VfL Bochum, assigning a 40% probability to this outcome. VfL Bochum's moderate recent form contrasts with Arminia Bielefeld's poor recent form, which influences the prediction. The market odds also suggest a competitive match, but the model appears slightly more confident in a home advantage than the odds imply. Additionally, the model predicts a 57% chance that both teams will score and a 56% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, indicating an expectation of a lively game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Arminia Bielefeld	VfL Bochum	1 - 1	May 2, 2026
VfL Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	1 - 0	December 6, 2025
Arminia Bielefeld	VfL Bochum	2 - 2	August 12, 2023
VfL Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	2 - 1	May 6, 2022
Arminia Bielefeld	VfL Bochum	2 - 0	December 14, 2021
Arminia Bielefeld	VfL Bochum	2 - 0	January 28, 2020

VfL Bochum Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Home	VfL Osnabruck	4 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Hannover 96	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Dynamo Dresden	1 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	VfL Osnabruck	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 - 2	Win

Arminia Bielefeld Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Rot-Weiß Essen	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Home	FC Heidenheim	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	SV Darmstadt 98	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	FC St. Pauli	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	FC Nurnberg	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2 - 2	Draw

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	VfL Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	-1	7
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	-2	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.86% likelihood that both VfL Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

VfL Bochum or Arminia Bielefeld to win

This prediction indicates that VfL Bochum has a 39.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

VfL Bochum Form (Last 6 Matches)

Arminia Bielefeld Form (Last 6 Matches)

2. Bundesliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

VfL Bochum or Arminia Bielefeld to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

2. Bundesliga

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